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本文基于2002—2015年中国沪深A股市场上市公司样本数据,依据违约距离变动刻画的财务困境,选取面板数据的Logit模型对行业经济困境背景下公司财务困境化解策略的选择以及化解策略的实施效果进行分析。结果表明:在内外困境叠加的情况下,上市公司更倾向于选择降低费用支出、资产重组以及发行债券的方式摆脱困境;降低费用支出、裁员、资产重组、资产购建和改变分配政策,以及这些措施中不超过四项的策略组合,均有助于公司在短期内化解财务困境,但发行债券会降低公司摆脱困境的可能性。本文研究结论对管理者、投资者以及监管者的科学决策具有重要参考价值。
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(1)对于此处的结果,我们关注的是公司财务困境与行业经济困境的交互项,且将四个模型中的交互项统一理解为公司财务困境与行业经济困境在两期(当期和前一期)内叠加,而不具体区分是否同时出现或哪个出现在前哪个出现在后。同样的考虑也存在于后续的研究中。
基本信息:
DOI:10.19654/j.cnki.cjwtyj.2019.06.011
中图分类号:F832.4;F832.51;F275
引用信息:
[1]王宁.基于违约距离的财务困境化解问题研究[J].财经问题研究,2019,No.427(06):82-90.DOI:10.19654/j.cnki.cjwtyj.2019.06.011.
基金信息:
吉林省教育厅“十三五”社会科学研究重点项目“中国上市公司价值影响因素研究”(吉教科文合字[2016]第357号)
2019-06-05
2019-06-05